Comments on: January's Returns Predict Rest of Year's Performance 74% of the time http://wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/januarys-returns-predict-rest-of-years-performance-74-of-the-time/ A personal finance blog written by Preet Banerjee Wed, 23 May 2012 17:49:11 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.1.2 By: Jordan http://wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/januarys-returns-predict-rest-of-years-performance-74-of-the-time/#comment-1275 Jordan Tue, 02 Feb 2010 10:04:56 +0000 http://www.wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/?p=1570#comment-1275 Well the numbers are in for January, and the bad news is S&P500 went down -4.65%, S&P/TSX Composite went down -5.55%. Time to pull out of the market completely and invest in high paying GICs, right? Well the numbers are in for January, and the bad news is S&P500 went down -4.65%, S&P/TSX Composite went down -5.55%. Time to pull out of the market completely and invest in high paying GICs, right?

]]> By: Jordan http://wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/januarys-returns-predict-rest-of-years-performance-74-of-the-time/#comment-1274 Jordan Sat, 23 Jan 2010 05:57:40 +0000 http://www.wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/?p=1570#comment-1274 I wonder if anybody has ever back tested a dynamic trading strategy that follows the investor's almanac. The strategy would be changed annually based on current trends with the highest correlation to past returns. I wonder if it could beat the market, may be due to momentum? I wonder if anybody has ever back tested a dynamic trading strategy that follows the investor’s almanac. The strategy would be changed annually based on current trends with the highest correlation to past returns. I wonder if it could beat the market, may be due to momentum?

]]> By: Daddy Paul http://wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/januarys-returns-predict-rest-of-years-performance-74-of-the-time/#comment-1273 Daddy Paul Sat, 23 Jan 2010 02:26:06 +0000 http://www.wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/?p=1570#comment-1273 I am not a fan of trading by the Calendar. In the last 15 years if you sold your mutual fund on Friday and bought them back on Tuesdays close you would be up over twice what you would be buy and hold. The market is ready for a slight pullback. Just look back to the 1974-1975 rally. We had a pull back 8 months into the rally. I am not a fan of trading by the Calendar. In the last 15 years if you sold your mutual fund on Friday and bought them back on Tuesdays close you would be up over twice what you would be buy and hold.
The market is ready for a slight pullback. Just look back to the 1974-1975 rally. We had a pull back 8 months into the rally.

]]> By: Jordan http://wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/januarys-returns-predict-rest-of-years-performance-74-of-the-time/#comment-1272 Jordan Tue, 19 Jan 2010 13:35:47 +0000 http://www.wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/?p=1570#comment-1272 Hey Preet I'm reading A Random Walk Down Wall Street and I'm curious what's your belief on the 3 variations of the efficient market theory, do you believe in the weak, semi-strong or strong version? Any insights to the theory? Is it at odds with your Rafi indexes? Hey Preet I’m reading A Random Walk Down Wall Street and I’m curious what’s your belief on the 3 variations of the efficient market theory, do you believe in the weak, semi-strong or strong version? Any insights to the theory? Is it at odds with your Rafi indexes?

]]> By: The Financial Blogger » Blog Archive » Financial Ramblings http://wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/januarys-returns-predict-rest-of-years-performance-74-of-the-time/#comment-1271 The Financial Blogger » Blog Archive » Financial Ramblings Sun, 17 Jan 2010 13:14:27 +0000 http://www.wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/?p=1570#comment-1271 [...] January’s returns predict the rest of the year’s performance 74% of the time according to Where Does All My Money Go. [...] [...] January’s returns predict the rest of the year’s performance 74% of the time according to Where Does All My Money Go. [...]

]]> By: Linkstuff For January 14 « Daily News http://wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/januarys-returns-predict-rest-of-years-performance-74-of-the-time/#comment-1270 Linkstuff For January 14 « Daily News Fri, 15 Jan 2010 11:53:23 +0000 http://www.wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/?p=1570#comment-1270 [...] January’s Returns Predict Rest of Year’s Performance 74% of the time [...] [...] January’s Returns Predict Rest of Year’s Performance 74% of the time [...]

]]> By: Canadian Personal Finance Blog » Blog Archive » Random Thoughts: Let’s all skate! http://wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/januarys-returns-predict-rest-of-years-performance-74-of-the-time/#comment-1269 Canadian Personal Finance Blog » Blog Archive » Random Thoughts: Let’s all skate! Fri, 15 Jan 2010 06:31:34 +0000 http://www.wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/?p=1570#comment-1269 [...] at WhereDoesAllMyMoneyGo.com points out that January’s Returns Predict Rest of Year’s Performance 74% of the time, which is an interesting idea. I have found that the team that scores the most points in most NFL [...] [...] at WhereDoesAllMyMoneyGo.com points out that January’s Returns Predict Rest of Year’s Performance 74% of the time, which is an interesting idea. I have found that the team that scores the most points in most NFL [...]

]]> By: Preet http://wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/januarys-returns-predict-rest-of-years-performance-74-of-the-time/#comment-1268 Preet Thu, 14 Jan 2010 04:16:03 +0000 http://www.wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/?p=1570#comment-1268 @Patrick: question for you then. Does EMH preclude seasonal trends from occurring? @Patrick: question for you then. Does EMH preclude seasonal trends from occurring?

]]> By: Preet http://wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/januarys-returns-predict-rest-of-years-performance-74-of-the-time/#comment-1267 Preet Thu, 14 Jan 2010 04:12:45 +0000 http://www.wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/?p=1570#comment-1267 @Mark: Of course you know I was being facetious! :) @Mark: Of course you know I was being facetious! :)

]]> By: Patrick http://wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/januarys-returns-predict-rest-of-years-performance-74-of-the-time/#comment-1266 Patrick Wed, 13 Jan 2010 17:19:31 +0000 http://www.wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/?p=1570#comment-1266 "if January’s performance was positive then the REST of the year’s performance tended to be positive, and vice versa. This worked out 74% of the time." As a believer in the Efficient-Market hypothesis, I'm going to go out on a limb and say that the market performance from February to December is positive about 74% of the time regardless of January's performance. “if January’s performance was positive then the REST of the year’s performance tended to be positive, and vice versa. This worked out 74% of the time.”

As a believer in the Efficient-Market hypothesis, I’m going to go out on a limb and say that the market performance from February to December is positive about 74% of the time regardless of January’s performance.

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